The Ministry expressed deep concern over ongoing demonstrations in parts of South Africa. Reports indicate harassment and attacks against Nigerian citizens and their businesses. The Ministry stated, “The Ministry expressed deep concern over ongoing demonstrations in parts of South Africa, particularly reports of harassment and attacks against Nigerian citizens and their businesses.” This situation arises as Nigeria prepares for the 2027 elections, which will be the first real test of its emerging political order.

Nigeria’s political landscape has shifted towards more concentrated power than at any point since 1999. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) controls an unprecedented number of governorships and state legislatures. Identity politics is increasingly becoming the primary vehicle for political mobilization in Nigeria. This trend reflects a growing focus on group identities rather than broader national issues.

The upcoming elections occur after years of mounting hardship, including inflation and unemployment. Observers note that if current trends continue, these elections could be among the most dangerous in Nigeria’s recent history. Analysts warn that when zoning is weakened without being replaced by a more principled system, the struggle over “whose turn” becomes rougher.

Political power concentration poses challenges for stability. As Dele Sobowale noted, since 2015, Nigeria’s festivals have turned into funerals due to increasing hardships. A democracy where elections are viewed merely as rituals risks instability.

Officials have not confirmed specific measures to address these concerns ahead of the elections. The government faces pressure to ensure safety for its citizens abroad while navigating complex domestic issues.

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